Under Murderous Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1073 | 1210 | 31% | 2019-07-06 | Lost |
1122 | 1122 | 50% | 2018-06-06 | Lost |
916 | 933 | 48% | 2013-01-18 | Lost |
952 | 952 | 50% | 2012-11-23 | Won |
903 | 898 | 51% | 2012-07-17 | Lost |
1048 | 1030 | 53% | 2011-06-26 | Lost |
999 | 1169 | 27% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
1133 | 1164 | 46% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2010-10-01 | Lost |
1030 | 1114 | 38% | 2008-11-11 | Won |
976 | 986 | 49% | 2008-09-21 | Lost |
1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2008-07-23 | Lost |
1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2008-07-16 | Won |
1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2008-07-12 | Lost |
1000 | 976 | 53% | 2008-06-27 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1044.7 vs 1065.3 has a 47.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).