Hammer and Nail
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1074 | 1040 | 55% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
| 973 | 1015 | 44% | 2020-02-20 | Tied |
| 1003 | 1211 | 23% | 2019-12-16 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2016-06-29 | Won |
| 898 | 903 | 49% | 2013-11-15 | Won |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2013-06-23 | Lost |
| 870 | 1098 | 21% | 2011-07-24 | Won |
| 1030 | 1048 | 47% | 2011-06-26 | Lost |
| 881 | 1098 | 22% | 2008-05-15 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1208 | 37% | 2008-05-03 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 992.4 vs 1069.7 has a 39.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).