Going to New York!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32
Attacker wins (Italian): 12
Defender wins (American): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1173 | 917 | 81% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
| 986 | 1012 | 46% | 2022-07-10 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1128 | 50% | 2022-04-20 | Lost |
| 1006 | 881 | 67% | 2021-11-10 | Tied |
| 990 | 949 | 56% | 2021-07-04 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1122 | 34% | 2021-06-03 | Lost |
| 831 | 1004 | 27% | 2021-05-31 | Lost |
| 982 | 964 | 53% | 2021-05-25 | Won |
| 945 | 925 | 53% | 2021-05-18 | Won |
| 964 | 982 | 47% | 2021-05-14 | Won |
| 1068 | 1028 | 56% | 2021-05-12 | Lost |
| 982 | 964 | 53% | 2021-05-07 | Lost |
| 1016 | 982 | 55% | 2021-05-04 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1115 | 52% | 2020-12-02 | Won |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2020-07-27 | Won |
| 1058 | 1006 | 57% | 2020-06-13 | Won |
| 1403 | 945 | 93% | 2020-04-08 | Won |
| 896 | 1027 | 32% | 2020-03-30 | Lost |
| 896 | 1027 | 32% | 2020-03-30 | Lost |
| 1027 | 896 | 68% | 2020-03-15 | Lost |
| 1027 | 896 | 68% | 2020-03-15 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1091 | 38% | 2019-06-20 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1006 | 65% | 2017-12-27 | Won |
| 901 | 881 | 53% | 2016-04-20 | Won |
| 881 | 901 | 47% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2015-11-20 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2015-11-20 | Lost |
| 1403 | 1178 | 79% | 2013-08-24 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1032 | 51% | 2013-01-24 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1023 | 52% | 2010-12-22 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1013 | 49% | 2010-02-20 | Lost |
| 872 | 982 | 35% | 2008-09-16 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1014.4 vs 994.9 has a 52.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).