Battle for the Warta Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Polish): 14
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 823 | 73% | 2024-06-19 | Won |
| 1147 | 1174 | 46% | 2024-06-08 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1001 | 62% | 2024-06-01 | Won |
| 907 | 1000 | 37% | 2023-08-19 | Lost |
| 988 | 965 | 53% | 2023-02-02 | Lost |
| 962 | 1006 | 44% | 2022-12-22 | Won |
| 965 | 988 | 47% | 2022-03-31 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1084 | 56% | 2022-03-23 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1124 | 41% | 2021-04-27 | Lost |
| 1039 | 989 | 57% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1039 | 989 | 57% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 970 | 1016 | 43% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 938 | 907 | 54% | 2018-06-16 | Won |
| 1239 | 1085 | 71% | 2017-12-12 | Lost |
| 1239 | 1084 | 71% | 2017-12-12 | Lost |
| 952 | 1238 | 16% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
| 952 | 1238 | 16% | 2017-10-09 | Won |
| 933 | 1067 | 32% | 2015-04-25 | Lost |
| 1087 | 955 | 68% | 2014-12-07 | Won |
| 1056 | 1060 | 49% | 2013-10-14 | Won |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2013-09-28 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1056 | 51% | 2013-09-28 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1075 | 58% | 2011-05-14 | Won |
| 916 | 1004 | 38% | 2009-12-05 | Won |
| 1021 | 907 | 66% | 2009-08-01 | Lost |
| 992 | 1043 | 43% | 2009-07-18 | Won |
| 940 | 907 | 55% | 2009-03-15 | Won |
| 840 | 1120 | 17% | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1020.5 vs 1035.6 has a 47.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).