A Winter Melee
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (Russian / Partisan): 9
Defender wins (German): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1194 | 1208 | 48% | 2023-04-23 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
| 1020 | 951 | 60% | 2018-07-20 | Won |
| 965 | 1156 | 25% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 907 | 1024 | 34% | 2018-04-28 | Won |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2017-09-10 | Lost |
| 907 | 999 | 37% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
| 1101 | 878 | 78% | 2016-03-17 | Won |
| 903 | 910 | 49% | 2015-11-30 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1083 | 49% | 2014-11-29 | Won |
| 1024 | 907 | 66% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
| 1024 | 981 | 56% | 2013-04-17 | Lost |
| 1287 | 1209 | 61% | 2013-03-24 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2012-12-07 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1037 | 65% | 2011-09-10 | Lost |
| 907 | 878 | 54% | 2009-08-04 | Won |
| 1098 | 881 | 78% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
| 981 | 1024 | 44% | 1990-08-22 | Tied |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1036 vs 1012.3 has a 53.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).