Clearing Carentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27
Attacker wins (American): 10
Defender wins (German): 16
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1000 | 965 | 55% | 2024-01-02 | Lost |
965 | 1000 | 45% | 2023-12-31 | Won |
1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2023-07-06 | Lost |
1174 | 1000 | 73% | 2023-04-09 | Lost |
990 | 978 | 52% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
991 | 973 | 53% | 2021-11-26 | Lost |
881 | 830 | 57% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
1178 | 1178 | 50% | 2021-07-01 | Lost |
1028 | 1174 | 30% | 2021-01-01 | Lost |
999 | 1017 | 47% | 2020-11-24 | Won |
1150 | 1141 | 51% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
898 | 831 | 60% | 2020-08-02 | Lost |
989 | 1009 | 47% | 2019-11-15 | Lost |
1211 | 1090 | 67% | 2019-11-07 | Won |
881 | 631 | 81% | 2019-06-23 | Lost |
984 | 965 | 53% | 2018-07-06 | Won |
1022 | 1022 | 50% | 2018-04-22 | Lost |
1113 | 1006 | 65% | 2018-03-26 | Won |
1122 | 1184 | 41% | 2015-09-22 | Lost |
1023 | 993 | 54% | 2015-08-21 | Won |
1228 | 1006 | 78% | 2014-10-22 | Won |
1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2013-12-26 | Won |
1113 | 1006 | 65% | 2013-04-24 | Lost |
1047 | 1069 | 47% | 2010-04-15 | Lost |
1039 | 959 | 61% | 2010-03-14 | Won |
1069 | 1047 | 53% | 2010-03-08 | Lost |
829 | 829 | 50% | 2009-11-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1034.3 vs 996.7 has a 55.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).