Thrilla in Manila
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (American): 4
Defender wins (Japanese): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 819 | 1047 | 21% | 2023-06-10 | Won |
| 1210 | 1038 | 73% | 2015-07-03 | Won |
| 1210 | 976 | 79% | 2015-07-03 | Won |
| 1048 | 1067 | 47% | 2015-05-07 | Lost |
| 976 | 1120 | 30% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
| 953 | 841 | 66% | 2011-07-31 | Won |
| 1003 | 1120 | 34% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1031.3 vs 1029.9 has a 50.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).