Round One
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (6 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (Polish): 14
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1113 | 34% | 2023-09-28 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1019 | 60% | 2021-02-07 | Won |
| 1084 | 1130 | 43% | 2015-07-08 | Won |
| 981 | 1239 | 18% | 2013-12-09 | Won |
| 821 | 916 | 37% | 2011-08-23 | Lost |
| 1210 | 982 | 79% | 1998-12-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1030.5 vs 1066.5 has a 44.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).