The Marketplace at Wormhoudt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (18 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 32
Defender wins (British): 35
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 965 | 923 | 56% | 2023-10-09 | Lost |
| 898 | 1058 | 28% | 2023-04-19 | Won |
| 1208 | 983 | 79% | 2021-09-09 | Won |
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
| 1033 | 969 | 59% | 2019-12-26 | Won |
| 1084 | 1189 | 35% | 2016-04-15 | Won |
| 977 | 916 | 59% | 2015-01-04 | Lost |
| 1006 | 978 | 54% | 2013-06-29 | Won |
| 976 | 1140 | 28% | 2013-04-20 | Lost |
| 1210 | 993 | 78% | 2012-07-15 | Won |
| 1106 | 1135 | 46% | 2011-06-24 | Lost |
| 903 | 1010 | 35% | 2011-06-21 | Lost |
| 916 | 1037 | 33% | 2011-03-18 | Lost |
| 1279 | 1169 | 65% | 2010-08-25 | Lost |
| 1279 | 1169 | 65% | 2010-08-25 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2010-08-24 | Lost |
| 1098 | 881 | 78% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
| 1116 | 1164 | 43% | 2010-04-22 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1063.2 vs 1044.4 has a 52.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).