Diversion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (9 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 11
Defender wins (Japanese): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1137 | 50% | 2019-05-21 | Won |
| 1084 | 1074 | 51% | 2017-11-26 | Won |
| 954 | 990 | 45% | 2015-10-03 | Won |
| 870 | 1228 | 11% | 2014-03-23 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1084 | 49% | 2013-08-25 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1037 | 49% | 2011-12-03 | Won |
| 1066 | 1111 | 44% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1003 | 66% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1043.8 vs 1080.9 has a 44.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).