Point To Make
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (16 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 26
Defender wins (German): 33
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 1125 | 903 | 78% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 897 | 1007 | 35% | 2017-04-08 | Lost |
| 916 | 977 | 41% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
| 1238 | 1080 | 71% | 2015-05-07 | Won |
| 1272 | 1030 | 80% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 1100 | 976 | 67% | 2014-02-01 | Lost |
| 933 | 955 | 47% | 2013-04-01 | Won |
| 941 | 903 | 55% | 2012-04-15 | Lost |
| 1164 | 957 | 77% | 2012-03-09 | Won |
| 987 | 1018 | 46% | 2012-03-08 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1018 | 48% | 2012-03-08 | Won |
| 1006 | 1018 | 48% | 2012-03-07 | Won |
| 1116 | 1164 | 43% | 2011-08-12 | Lost |
| 983 | 1208 | 21% | 2011-08-06 | Lost |
| 903 | 898 | 51% | 2011-06-01 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1039.1 vs 1007 has a 54.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).