Penny Packets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (16 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 29
Defender wins (American): 26
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1147 | 916 | 79% | 2024-11-27 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1010 | 54% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
| 963 | 916 | 57% | 2021-05-13 | Lost |
| 823 | 903 | 39% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
| 1110 | 965 | 70% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1239 | 1085 | 71% | 2018-04-25 | Won |
| 1239 | 1084 | 71% | 2018-04-25 | Won |
| 1084 | 1130 | 43% | 2015-03-15 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1191 | 52% | 2013-12-27 | Won |
| 986 | 1075 | 37% | 2012-06-28 | Won |
| 1116 | 1164 | 43% | 2011-08-27 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2011-08-15 | Won |
| 1018 | 1017 | 50% | 2011-06-27 | Lost |
| 976 | 1210 | 21% | 2011-02-22 | Won |
| 1098 | 881 | 78% | 2010-11-28 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1075.4 vs 1044.2 has a 54.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).