ASL Scenario Archive

Ragnarök

Games with no balance used/recorded: 171 (40 on the archive and 131 on ROAR)

Attacker wins (German (SS)): 87

Defender wins (Russian): 84

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
918	1169	19%	2024-11-16	Lost
959	959	50%	2024-05-25	Won
1030	1038	49%	2024-04-25	Lost
1000	1000	50%	2024-01-10	Lost
1040	1074	45%	2023-11-15	Won
1073	1164	37%	2023-06-23	Won
986	1121	31%	2023-06-23	Won
932	1006	40%	2023-06-23	Won
986	1015	46%	2022-06-05	Lost
882	932	43%	2022-01-28	Lost
1047	947	64%	2021-11-21	Won
1014	1103	37%	2021-11-21	Won
1239	906	87%	2021-08-16	Won
981	1030	43%	2021-05-09	Won
791	1101	14%	2021-03-02	Lost
1149	1101	57%	2020-12-01	Won
954	1058	35%	2020-04-04	Won
1137	1135	50%	2019-05-09	Won
975	1030	42%	2018-10-21	Won
1006	1018	48%	2018-03-08	Won
1018	1006	52%	2018-03-05	Won
1096	1210	34%	2017-10-05	Won
916	1012	37%	2016-10-05	Won
1004	976	54%	2012-10-05	Lost
881	951	40%	2012-03-28	Won
1061	1055	51%	2012-02-25	Won
906	938	45%	2012-02-01	Lost
1205	1018	75%	2011-11-30	Lost
1225	1279	42%	2011-10-27	Lost
1010	955	58%	2011-10-13	Won
1279	1100	74%	2011-09-18	Won
1116	1164	43%	2011-08-27	Lost
903	882	53%	2011-06-19	Lost
1098	1096	50%	2011-06-06	Won
986	1084	36%	2011-05-30	Lost
1098	881	78%	2011-05-28	Lost
1096	1098	50%	2011-05-23	Lost
1098	1096	50%	2011-05-16	Won
1073	1210	31%	2011-04-09	Lost
916	987	40%	2011-03-30	Lost

Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1027.1 vs 1047.6 has a 47.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).