Order 831
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 117 (17 on the archive and 100 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 52
Defender wins (German (SS)): 65
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 932 | 882 | 57% | 2024-05-21 | Won |
| 971 | 976 | 49% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2022-04-13 | Lost |
| 1084 | 952 | 68% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1238 | 1005 | 79% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1058 | 1074 | 48% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 1038 | 916 | 67% | 2013-09-09 | Lost |
| 1142 | 903 | 80% | 2012-10-16 | Won |
| 976 | 884 | 63% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1074 | 887 | 75% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1191 | 52% | 2012-04-12 | Won |
| 1006 | 1018 | 48% | 2012-01-22 | Lost |
| 1279 | 1111 | 72% | 2011-10-22 | Won |
| 976 | 1210 | 21% | 2011-10-07 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1043 | 55% | 2011-10-03 | Lost |
| 938 | 980 | 44% | 2011-09-02 | Won |
| 916 | 911 | 51% | 2011-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1055.8 vs 998.6 has a 58.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).