Preliminary Move
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1173 | 1036 | 69% | 2020-10-27 | Lost |
| 947 | 988 | 44% | 2020-01-11 | Won |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2019-05-12 | Won |
| 1141 | 1279 | 31% | 2018-07-04 | Lost |
| 1101 | 907 | 75% | 2018-04-04 | Won |
| 963 | 1036 | 40% | 2018-04-02 | Lost |
| 1207 | 976 | 79% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2016-08-30 | Won |
| 1106 | 1006 | 64% | 2014-01-21 | Won |
| 1043 | 946 | 64% | 2013-04-22 | Won |
| 1067 | 919 | 70% | 2013-03-02 | Won |
| 1017 | 1018 | 50% | 2012-02-14 | Won |
| 881 | 1098 | 22% | 2011-11-12 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1056.9 vs 1028.7 has a 54.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).