The Second Belt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (11 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1078 | 1087 | 49% | 2021-12-10 | Won |
| 1043 | 903 | 69% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 1038 | 965 | 60% | 2017-11-30 | Won |
| 1207 | 976 | 79% | 2017-06-28 | Won |
| 1212 | 1169 | 56% | 2016-11-09 | Won |
| 954 | 1071 | 34% | 2016-09-23 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1279 | 27% | 2016-02-27 | Tied |
| 1210 | 1038 | 73% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 1210 | 976 | 79% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1230 | 42% | 2013-09-27 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1208 | 48% | 2012-03-15 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1129 vs 1082 has a 56.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).