Fork in the Road
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1140 | 1106 | 55% | 2023-03-03 | Won |
| 1000 | 1106 | 35% | 2023-02-07 | Lost |
| 1043 | 903 | 69% | 2022-12-07 | Won |
| 1085 | 1239 | 29% | 2019-09-09 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1239 | 29% | 2019-09-09 | Lost |
| 1207 | 976 | 79% | 2017-07-21 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1279 | 31% | 2017-03-15 | Lost |
| 1084 | 906 | 74% | 2014-03-10 | Won |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2012-12-13 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1073.9 vs 1084.4 has a 48.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).