Hotly Contested Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Russian): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 946 | 64% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 819 | 1047 | 21% | 2022-04-15 | Lost |
| 819 | 1011 | 25% | 2021-10-22 | Won |
| 1238 | 1091 | 70% | 2019-11-10 | Won |
| 1230 | 932 | 85% | 2019-08-13 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1006 | 64% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
| 1207 | 976 | 79% | 2017-09-12 | Lost |
| 1239 | 1075 | 72% | 2016-03-04 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1230 | 42% | 2014-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1096.9 vs 1034.9 has a 58.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).