BB Gun at the Baby Parade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (8 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 10
Defender wins (German): 20
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1208 | 1074 | 68% | 2013-10-03 | Won |
| 986 | 1201 | 22% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 1074 | 986 | 62% | 2012-02-17 | Won |
| 916 | 1142 | 21% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 924 | 976 | 43% | 2012-01-28 | Lost |
| 1084 | 986 | 64% | 2011-12-02 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1164 | 33% | 2011-10-09 | Lost |
| 1028 | 903 | 67% | 2011-09-15 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1032.5 vs 1054 has a 46.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).