Burnt, Blue and Gray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (10 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (American): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1169 | 903 | 82% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 907 | 1024 | 34% | 2022-04-18 | Won |
| 933 | 965 | 45% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1238 | 21% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1111 | 46% | 2015-10-29 | Won |
| 1209 | 878 | 87% | 2015-09-05 | Won |
| 1040 | 1074 | 45% | 2013-05-25 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1018 | 48% | 2013-03-08 | Won |
| 1006 | 1018 | 48% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1043 | 52% | 2012-07-28 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1041.8 vs 1027.2 has a 52.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).