Hell for the Holidays
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (American): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2023-08-27 | Won |
| 1038 | 981 | 58% | 2022-12-18 | Won |
| 1074 | 1062 | 52% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1009 | 52% | 2020-09-06 | Lost |
| 1239 | 1085 | 71% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1239 | 1084 | 71% | 2020-06-10 | Won |
| 1091 | 1238 | 30% | 2020-01-12 | Lost |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2019-06-19 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1046 | 49% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2018-12-16 | Lost |
| 1075 | 976 | 64% | 2013-06-21 | Won |
| 1062 | 947 | 66% | 2013-06-14 | Lost |
| 1087 | 955 | 68% | 2013-03-19 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1077 | 44% | 2012-05-05 | Won |
| 1142 | 916 | 79% | 2012-03-31 | Lost |
| 987 | 917 | 60% | 2012-03-24 | Lost |
| 1098 | 881 | 78% | 2012-02-07 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1043 | 56% | 2012-01-12 | Won |
| 903 | 767 | 69% | 2012-01-12 | Lost |
| 1120 | 965 | 71% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1062.2 vs 999.4 has a 58.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).