The Terror of the Castle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (7 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 11
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay)): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1091 | 1000 | 63% | 2024-06-10 | Won |
| 993 | 1023 | 46% | 2022-12-12 | Won |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2021-08-11 | Won |
| 1239 | 1131 | 65% | 2021-04-15 | Won |
| 1207 | 865 | 88% | 2019-01-22 | Won |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2014-04-01 | Won |
| 981 | 1239 | 18% | 2014-03-21 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1061 vs 1024.9 has a 55.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).