Pearl of the Danube
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (7 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian (Vannay)): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 975 | 1006 | 46% | 2024-04-25 | Won |
| 973 | 1211 | 20% | 2020-10-20 | Lost |
| 1211 | 1078 | 68% | 2019-07-03 | Won |
| 1239 | 981 | 82% | 2018-03-10 | Lost |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2017-10-25 | Lost |
| 1084 | 968 | 66% | 2017-07-07 | Won |
| 1117 | 1038 | 61% | 2014-12-18 | Tied |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1068.6 vs 1041.1 has a 53.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).