The Gateway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (American): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2024-05-15 | Won |
| 1058 | 898 | 72% | 2024-01-10 | Won |
| 1113 | 984 | 68% | 2023-05-30 | Lost |
| 1279 | 965 | 86% | 2021-08-28 | Won |
| 1238 | 927 | 86% | 2021-04-11 | Won |
| 916 | 967 | 43% | 2014-02-28 | Lost |
| 898 | 949 | 43% | 2013-09-16 | Lost |
| 1047 | 985 | 59% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
| 993 | 1210 | 22% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
| 957 | 1075 | 34% | 2013-01-06 | Won |
| 976 | 1000 | 47% | 2012-11-09 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1124 | 39% | 2012-09-30 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1043.2 vs 1014 has a 54.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).