Messenger Boys
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 107 (16 on the archive and 91 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 49
Defender wins (German (SS)): 58
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1309 | 1096 | 77% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 947 | 988 | 44% | 2023-01-29 | Won |
| 1084 | 952 | 68% | 2021-01-18 | Lost |
| 1043 | 965 | 61% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
| 960 | 891 | 60% | 2020-02-14 | Lost |
| 865 | 1207 | 12% | 2017-09-23 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1067 | 55% | 2014-04-07 | Won |
| 987 | 1024 | 45% | 2013-08-31 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1279 | 42% | 2013-08-14 | Lost |
| 963 | 1075 | 34% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
| 989 | 982 | 51% | 2013-02-28 | Won |
| 977 | 916 | 59% | 2013-02-10 | Lost |
| 977 | 916 | 59% | 2013-02-06 | Lost |
| 1098 | 881 | 78% | 2012-12-28 | Won |
| 1098 | 870 | 79% | 2012-12-02 | Lost |
| 903 | 1058 | 29% | 2012-11-19 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1032.5 vs 1010.4 has a 53.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).