Red Banner Days
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (6 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay) / German): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2023-05-06 | Won |
| 903 | 853 | 57% | 2019-12-29 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2018-09-27 | Won |
| 1074 | 1261 | 25% | 2015-08-10 | Lost |
| 1261 | 978 | 84% | 2014-03-09 | Won |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2013-05-22 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1027.7 vs 1003.3 has a 53.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).