Spittelmarkt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (15 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (German (SS)): 38
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 975 | 1006 | 46% | 2018-05-28 | Won |
| 976 | 1093 | 34% | 2017-04-14 | Lost |
| 1239 | 890 | 88% | 2016-09-25 | Won |
| 1084 | 906 | 74% | 2014-11-10 | Won |
| 1239 | 981 | 82% | 2014-07-25 | Won |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2014-07-17 | Won |
| 1210 | 1038 | 73% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 1210 | 976 | 79% | 2014-06-13 | Won |
| 1006 | 1018 | 48% | 2014-03-04 | Won |
| 1018 | 1006 | 52% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
| 1006 | 1106 | 36% | 2014-02-04 | Lost |
| 1208 | 945 | 82% | 2014-01-26 | Lost |
| 1208 | 983 | 79% | 2014-01-20 | Tied |
| 1148 | 936 | 77% | 2013-11-21 | Won |
| 1004 | 1043 | 44% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1094.1 vs 995.5 has a 63.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).