A Polish Requiem
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (17 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (Polish): 51
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Polish): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 881 | 66% | 2023-11-08 | Lost |
| 962 | 1006 | 44% | 2023-09-03 | Lost |
| 975 | 1006 | 46% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 903 | 976 | 40% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 932 | 979 | 43% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
| 1012 | 967 | 56% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2019-03-13 | Won |
| 1113 | 1238 | 33% | 2018-03-18 | Won |
| 933 | 1087 | 29% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
| 1279 | 1141 | 69% | 2016-10-12 | Won |
| 1074 | 1239 | 28% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1018 | 48% | 2016-04-10 | Lost |
| 884 | 1075 | 25% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2013-09-26 | Lost |
| 940 | 916 | 53% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
| 942 | 889 | 58% | 2013-05-18 | Lost |
| 977 | 916 | 59% | 2013-03-23 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1002.1 vs 1019.4 has a 47.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).