Adolf's Amateurs
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (24 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 51
Defender wins (Russian): 45
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2024-04-09 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-04-07 | Lost |
| 1030 | 974 | 58% | 2024-02-06 | Lost |
| 906 | 1085 | 26% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
| 966 | 966 | 50% | 2023-02-23 | Lost |
| 907 | 1110 | 24% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1140 | 1209 | 40% | 2022-09-04 | Lost |
| 932 | 1062 | 32% | 2022-01-19 | Won |
| 1103 | 1083 | 53% | 2021-08-31 | Won |
| 1261 | 1060 | 76% | 2020-04-15 | Won |
| 1020 | 1009 | 52% | 2019-09-15 | Lost |
| 840 | 1209 | 11% | 2017-06-23 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1191 | 52% | 2017-06-02 | Lost |
| 949 | 823 | 67% | 2017-04-20 | Won |
| 1085 | 898 | 75% | 2016-05-09 | Won |
| 889 | 979 | 37% | 2016-01-29 | Won |
| 916 | 929 | 48% | 2015-11-22 | Won |
| 1040 | 983 | 58% | 2014-06-20 | Lost |
| 898 | 1010 | 34% | 2014-05-06 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1208 | 30% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 916 | 1110 | 25% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 947 | 988 | 44% | 2013-08-04 | Won |
| 1038 | 916 | 67% | 2013-05-13 | Lost |
| 981 | 994 | 48% | 2013-04-12 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1002.2 vs 1034 has a 45.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).