Sting of the Italian Hornet
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (6 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 22
Defender wins (Italian): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 959 | 1002 | 44% | 2023-01-29 | Won |
| 932 | 947 | 48% | 2023-01-21 | Lost |
| 884 | 954 | 40% | 2020-10-17 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1087 | 51% | 2018-04-13 | Won |
| 1238 | 1238 | 50% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 1058 | 898 | 72% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1027.3 vs 1021 has a 50.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).