Ivan and the Three Bears
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (8 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 1131 | 37% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
| 1239 | 1098 | 69% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
| 947 | 1218 | 17% | 2014-08-02 | Won |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
| 1111 | 1230 | 34% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1061 | 1074 | 48% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1142 | 1208 | 41% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 916 | 1074 | 29% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1041.6 vs 1129.9 has a 37.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).