Between The Devil And The Deep Blue Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (19 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 26
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1169 | 1209 | 44% | 2021-02-21 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1018 | 48% | 2021-01-12 | Lost |
| 977 | 916 | 59% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
| 865 | 931 | 41% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
| 1279 | 998 | 83% | 2015-02-16 | Won |
| 1166 | 1230 | 41% | 2014-12-13 | Lost |
| 1101 | 983 | 66% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
| 1014 | 903 | 65% | 2014-04-13 | Won |
| 881 | 963 | 38% | 2014-03-25 | Won |
| 1069 | 1098 | 46% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
| 978 | 1100 | 33% | 2014-01-18 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1148 | 43% | 2013-11-19 | Won |
| 1073 | 1075 | 50% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1135 | 49% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1156 | 916 | 80% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
| 976 | 1043 | 40% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 976 | 1142 | 28% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 1074 | 963 | 65% | 2013-10-07 | Lost |
| 990 | 1120 | 32% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1051.2 vs 1046.9 has a 50.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).