ASL Scenario Archive

Milling About

Games with no balance used/recorded: 143 (39 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)

Attacker wins (Japanese/Burmese): 75

Defender wins (British): 68

Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.

Attacker ELO	Defender ELO	Expected chance to win	Date	Outcome
1022	955	60%	2024-11-13	Won
791	1101	14%	2024-08-26	Lost
1261	1047	77%	2023-10-20	Won
1101	791	86%	2023-01-06	Won
1147	1143	51%	2022-05-22	Won
932	932	50%	2021-06-11	Won
906	1084	26%	2021-06-05	Lost
947	942	51%	2021-02-13	Won
1018	1084	41%	2020-05-17	Lost
1106	1133	46%	2019-04-08	Lost
1036	1242	23%	2018-05-27	Lost
1036	1242	23%	2018-05-27	Lost
1086	976	65%	2018-05-19	Won
1122	1122	50%	2017-08-29	Won
1069	907	72%	2016-07-31	Lost
1075	1087	48%	2016-07-25	Won
1075	1087	48%	2016-07-25	Won
1075	1004	60%	2016-05-02	Won
986	851	69%	2016-04-30	Won
986	851	69%	2016-04-30	Won
1033	1033	50%	2016-04-29	Lost
1006	1067	41%	2015-10-08	Won
1208	983	79%	2015-01-25	Lost
1030	1292	18%	2015-01-24	Won
1133	1074	58%	2014-10-18	Lost
947	947	50%	2014-08-23	Lost
977	916	59%	2014-07-20	Lost
906	1040	32%	2014-07-16	Lost
1016	1238	22%	2014-07-11	Lost
1040	906	68%	2014-07-03	Won
1016	976	56%	2014-05-29	Lost
1043	1074	46%	2014-05-25	Won
1074	1120	43%	2014-05-10	Lost
1052	1230	26%	2014-05-09	Won
1006	1018	48%	2014-05-01	Won
881	1006	33%	2014-04-16	Won
913	903	51%	2014-04-01	Lost
958	1074	34%	2014-04-01	Lost
955	916	56%	2014-02-18	Won

Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1024.9 vs 1035.7 has a 48.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).