Smashing the Hook
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (20 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 48
Defender wins (Japanese): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1150 | 1141 | 51% | 2024-05-25 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1150 | 38% | 2024-05-20 | Lost |
| 947 | 942 | 51% | 2022-06-27 | Won |
| 1020 | 976 | 56% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
| 976 | 1073 | 36% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 891 | 960 | 40% | 2019-10-02 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1106 | 54% | 2019-08-15 | Lost |
| 976 | 1038 | 41% | 2019-03-03 | Lost |
| 976 | 1066 | 37% | 2019-02-27 | Lost |
| 1279 | 1142 | 69% | 2015-04-18 | Won |
| 881 | 1001 | 33% | 2015-03-16 | Lost |
| 881 | 1131 | 19% | 2015-02-16 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1084 | 57% | 2015-01-26 | Lost |
| 1137 | 943 | 75% | 2015-01-10 | Lost |
| 986 | 916 | 60% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
| 916 | 1142 | 21% | 2014-07-08 | Lost |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2014-05-16 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1013.1 vs 1048.1 has a 44.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).