City on the Edge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (15 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (American): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 976 | 1072 | 37% | 2022-11-27 | Won |
| 960 | 958 | 50% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1009 | 932 | 61% | 2022-02-24 | Won |
| 1006 | 1018 | 48% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1121 | 41% | 2021-12-08 | Won |
| 1085 | 1101 | 48% | 2021-11-21 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1085 | 52% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 963 | 974 | 48% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
| 1208 | 1208 | 50% | 2020-12-05 | Won |
| 981 | 981 | 50% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1084 | 55% | 2020-10-21 | Won |
| 1279 | 1000 | 83% | 2017-03-10 | Won |
| 1171 | 1230 | 42% | 2015-04-17 | Won |
| 988 | 947 | 56% | 2014-12-30 | Won |
| 965 | 1120 | 29% | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1057.9 vs 1055.4 has a 50.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).