Spoiled Afternoon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (15 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Polish): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1078 | 1078 | 50% | 2024-11-18 | Won |
| 1032 | 958 | 60% | 2024-05-02 | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2022-12-11 | Won |
| 947 | 898 | 57% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
| 1101 | 938 | 72% | 2018-05-16 | Won |
| 1032 | 1074 | 44% | 2017-03-22 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1084 | 61% | 2015-06-27 | Lost |
| 1106 | 986 | 67% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1106 | 986 | 67% | 2015-06-26 | Won |
| 1018 | 1006 | 52% | 2015-06-21 | Won |
| 1106 | 1133 | 46% | 2014-11-20 | Won |
| 967 | 889 | 61% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 1166 | 1230 | 41% | 2014-09-21 | Won |
| 1230 | 1052 | 74% | 2014-09-19 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2014-09-18 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1081.3 vs 1023.3 has a 58.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).