Operation Kutuzov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (15 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 49
Defender wins (German): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1031 | 48% | 2024-06-16 | Lost |
| 947 | 1058 | 35% | 2022-02-10 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1043 | 62% | 2020-06-19 | Lost |
| 928 | 981 | 42% | 2020-05-27 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1171 | 58% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 1185 | 1084 | 64% | 2017-10-26 | Won |
| 1006 | 1242 | 20% | 2017-03-02 | Lost |
| 983 | 1208 | 21% | 2016-12-03 | Won |
| 1169 | 1104 | 59% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
| 916 | 1038 | 33% | 2015-08-01 | Won |
| 1279 | 1011 | 82% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
| 1279 | 1000 | 83% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1100 | 976 | 67% | 2015-02-15 | Lost |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2014-12-16 | Won |
| 1230 | 992 | 80% | 2014-11-06 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1085 vs 1063 has a 53.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).