Skiing in Lapland
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (12 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 17
Defender wins (Finnish): 21
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1085 | 898 | 75% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1084 | 1084 | 50% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1000 | 1091 | 37% | 2023-12-18 | Lost |
| 962 | 1006 | 44% | 2023-05-10 | Won |
| 1023 | 993 | 54% | 2022-01-16 | Won |
| 907 | 1024 | 34% | 2021-09-18 | Lost |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2021-06-05 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2018-08-27 | Won |
| 935 | 917 | 53% | 2018-08-15 | Won |
| 1100 | 916 | 74% | 2016-03-30 | Won |
| 1033 | 1087 | 42% | 2015-08-18 | Won |
| 947 | 988 | 44% | 2015-02-28 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 997.4 vs 1001.8 has a 49.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).