Esebeck's Pursuit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (7 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 19
Defender wins (French): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1084 | 50% | 2021-05-31 | Lost |
| 1084 | 987 | 64% | 2019-11-07 | Won |
| 976 | 1005 | 46% | 2019-07-22 | Lost |
| 1078 | 947 | 68% | 2019-06-02 | Won |
| 1088 | 976 | 66% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
| 1074 | 954 | 67% | 2016-09-04 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1209 | 44% | 2015-11-11 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1079 vs 1023.1 has a 57.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).