Hart Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 261 (41 on the archive and 220 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British/American): 131
Defender wins (German): 129
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1061 | 954 | 65% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
| 1061 | 881 | 74% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1083 | 960 | 67% | 2024-03-03 | Lost |
| 1048 | 881 | 72% | 2023-12-10 | Won |
| 1309 | 1000 | 86% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 946 | 970 | 47% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2022-06-18 | Won |
| 1011 | 1292 | 17% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 1062 | 932 | 68% | 2021-03-29 | Won |
| 1124 | 994 | 68% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
| 958 | 1080 | 33% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 1194 | 1208 | 48% | 2019-10-15 | Won |
| 1032 | 791 | 80% | 2019-05-12 | Won |
| 1279 | 1009 | 83% | 2019-02-05 | Won |
| 1279 | 1103 | 73% | 2018-11-28 | Won |
| 1279 | 1019 | 82% | 2018-09-28 | Won |
| 1020 | 1028 | 49% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1238 | 44% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1067 | 42% | 2018-03-28 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1116 | 45% | 2018-03-07 | Won |
| 1004 | 965 | 56% | 2018-01-20 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2017-12-10 | Lost |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2017-06-28 | Lost |
| 907 | 1024 | 34% | 2017-06-03 | Lost |
| 979 | 963 | 52% | 2017-02-28 | Won |
| 976 | 971 | 51% | 2017-02-19 | Won |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2017-01-31 | Won |
| 1012 | 893 | 66% | 2017-01-29 | Lost |
| 1238 | 1005 | 79% | 2017-01-08 | Won |
| 1279 | 1001 | 83% | 2017-01-05 | Tied |
| 903 | 1081 | 26% | 2016-12-01 | Won |
| 1018 | 1006 | 52% | 2016-11-07 | Won |
| 1006 | 1018 | 48% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
| 916 | 977 | 41% | 2016-10-02 | Won |
| 1084 | 1101 | 48% | 2016-07-30 | Lost |
| 1169 | 928 | 80% | 2016-07-30 | Won |
| 1239 | 890 | 88% | 2016-07-07 | Won |
| 1000 | 976 | 53% | 2016-06-29 | Won |
| 1075 | 1113 | 45% | 2016-06-21 | Won |
| 1230 | 1052 | 74% | 2016-04-17 | Won |
| 898 | 903 | 49% | 2016-03-26 | Won |
Attacking (26 wins) average ELOs: 1070.7 vs 1010.9 has a 58.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).