Red Churchills
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (15 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (Finnish): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1103 | 1009 | 63% | 2024-09-30 | Lost |
| 1084 | 882 | 76% | 2024-08-14 | Won |
| 1091 | 1000 | 63% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 960 | 1000 | 44% | 2024-03-02 | Lost |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2024-01-06 | Lost |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
| 983 | 1104 | 33% | 2021-04-25 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2021-04-18 | Won |
| 1116 | 1164 | 43% | 2021-03-01 | Lost |
| 739 | 819 | 39% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
| 1075 | 992 | 62% | 2018-05-01 | Lost |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2017-09-04 | Won |
| 977 | 916 | 59% | 2016-09-17 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1131 | 38% | 2016-08-06 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1074 | 51% | 2016-07-02 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1001.9 vs 1007.6 has a 49.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).