Deadly Assumption
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (13 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (American): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 916 | 1179 | 18% | 2024-06-27 | Lost |
| 959 | 959 | 50% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
| 1205 | 986 | 78% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1034 | 1058 | 47% | 2023-02-03 | Lost |
| 932 | 932 | 50% | 2023-01-31 | Won |
| 819 | 739 | 61% | 2020-09-16 | Won |
| 1024 | 907 | 66% | 2020-04-18 | Lost |
| 1279 | 1108 | 73% | 2018-05-04 | Won |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2017-09-04 | Won |
| 1084 | 979 | 65% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
| 985 | 1043 | 42% | 2016-08-06 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1051 | 49% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 876 | 903 | 46% | 2016-04-29 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1002.8 vs 988.5 has a 52.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).