A Bitter Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (14 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 17
Defender wins (German): 27
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1071 | 52% | 2024-10-26 | Won |
| 1000 | 1012 | 48% | 2023-04-06 | Lost |
| 1000 | 965 | 55% | 2023-03-11 | Tied |
| 1033 | 1084 | 43% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 1122 | 981 | 69% | 2021-08-17 | Lost |
| 959 | 947 | 52% | 2020-06-27 | Won |
| 1016 | 970 | 57% | 2020-05-29 | Lost |
| 931 | 1207 | 17% | 2019-05-05 | Lost |
| 1194 | 1087 | 65% | 2018-05-21 | Lost |
| 979 | 1169 | 25% | 2017-07-28 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1279 | 31% | 2017-01-20 | Won |
| 1101 | 938 | 72% | 2016-08-29 | Won |
| 873 | 1101 | 21% | 2016-08-27 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1074 | 44% | 2016-07-07 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1033.2 vs 1063.2 has a 45.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).