Raid on Moerdijk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (6 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Dutch / French): 4
Defender wins (German): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1113 | 1006 | 65% | 2024-05-20 | Won |
| 1133 | 1106 | 54% | 2018-07-12 | Lost |
| 1207 | 865 | 88% | 2018-01-31 | Won |
| 963 | 1209 | 20% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-01-01 | Lost |
| 986 | 851 | 69% | 2015-12-05 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1042.2 vs 1003.8 has a 55.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).