Backs to the Sea
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (American): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 876 | 965 | 37% | 2022-06-26 | Lost |
| 954 | 1049 | 37% | 2022-01-29 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1155 | 53% | 2022-01-05 | Won |
| 906 | 1085 | 26% | 2021-06-24 | Lost |
| 903 | 853 | 57% | 2021-03-19 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1043 | 61% | 2021-03-10 | Won |
| 996 | 1103 | 35% | 2021-03-01 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1043 | 50% | 2020-11-02 | Lost |
| 917 | 892 | 54% | 2020-04-04 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1040 | 57% | 2017-11-08 | Won |
| 1111 | 1238 | 32% | 2017-11-05 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1007 | 78% | 2016-12-19 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1026.4 vs 1039.4 has a 48.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).