Death at Carentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (15 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 17
Defender wins (German): 17
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1075 | 39% | 2024-08-30 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1020 | 47% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 993 | 1023 | 46% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 955 | 903 | 57% | 2023-06-05 | Lost |
| 965 | 923 | 56% | 2022-08-22 | Won |
| 907 | 1024 | 34% | 2021-10-17 | Won |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2021-01-05 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1173 | 27% | 2020-07-25 | Won |
| 892 | 917 | 46% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
| 1169 | 1045 | 67% | 2019-07-26 | Won |
| 995 | 1020 | 46% | 2019-06-30 | Tied |
| 1238 | 1034 | 76% | 2019-05-29 | Won |
| 1230 | 1007 | 78% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1091 | 1006 | 62% | 2016-12-04 | Lost |
| 1006 | 881 | 67% | 2016-10-17 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1021.7 vs 1003.8 has a 52.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).