Devil's Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (16 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (German): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 965 | 911 | 58% | 2024-09-03 | Won |
| 1000 | 1016 | 48% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1040 | 1085 | 44% | 2021-12-25 | Lost |
| 1085 | 906 | 74% | 2021-10-29 | Lost |
| 1054 | 903 | 70% | 2021-10-09 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1085 | 52% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 907 | 1024 | 34% | 2021-08-18 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1032 | 58% | 2021-06-30 | Lost |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 959 | 959 | 50% | 2019-09-29 | Lost |
| 1051 | 959 | 63% | 2019-08-24 | Won |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2019-07-07 | Lost |
| 949 | 1158 | 23% | 2018-03-20 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1230 | 22% | 2017-12-01 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1018 | 48% | 2017-02-06 | Lost |
| 935 | 1238 | 15% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 994.3 vs 1033.5 has a 44.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).