Taking Some Flak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (17 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 22
Defender wins (German (SS)): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 881 | 66% | 2024-05-21 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1233 | 21% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 881 | 1055 | 27% | 2024-04-04 | Won |
| 954 | 967 | 48% | 2023-08-03 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-07-01 | Won |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2022-08-15 | Tied |
| 739 | 819 | 39% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
| 907 | 1024 | 34% | 2020-03-14 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1191 | 52% | 2019-05-31 | Lost |
| 1066 | 955 | 65% | 2018-02-02 | Won |
| 1042 | 881 | 72% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1074 | 51% | 2017-04-02 | Won |
| 1038 | 916 | 67% | 2017-03-21 | Lost |
| 947 | 988 | 44% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1230 | 26% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
| 1238 | 952 | 84% | 2017-03-15 | Won |
| 1120 | 965 | 71% | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1009.2 vs 1008.1 has a 50.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).