Raff's Rules
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 129 (27 on the archive and 102 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 60
Defender wins (German): 68
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 923 | 1022 | 36% | 2023-10-01 | Won |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2023-03-26 | Lost |
| 1279 | 1291 | 48% | 2022-06-09 | Tied |
| 1208 | 962 | 80% | 2022-04-23 | Won |
| 739 | 819 | 39% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 947 | 1005 | 42% | 2021-11-19 | Lost |
| 1261 | 1103 | 71% | 2021-11-19 | Won |
| 1018 | 996 | 53% | 2021-07-12 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1084 | 52% | 2021-05-06 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1043 | 54% | 2020-11-27 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1101 | 59% | 2020-06-17 | Lost |
| 976 | 1005 | 46% | 2019-10-10 | Won |
| 1071 | 954 | 66% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1084 | 55% | 2018-10-22 | Won |
| 1210 | 1051 | 71% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
| 1279 | 978 | 85% | 2018-06-23 | Lost |
| 1020 | 946 | 60% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
| 841 | 841 | 50% | 2018-03-24 | Won |
| 1169 | 1209 | 44% | 2018-02-13 | Lost |
| 1238 | 838 | 91% | 2017-12-02 | Won |
| 1006 | 975 | 54% | 2017-11-03 | Lost |
| 1020 | 983 | 55% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 976 | 1049 | 40% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
| 952 | 1210 | 18% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 976 | 998 | 47% | 2017-10-05 | Lost |
| 965 | 1066 | 36% | 2017-05-27 | Lost |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2017-05-07 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1047.7 vs 1023.1 has a 53.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).