Crickets in Spring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 113 (27 on the archive and 86 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 60
Defender wins (Russian): 53
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2023-12-04 | Won |
| 921 | 1040 | 34% | 2023-11-19 | Lost |
| 965 | 920 | 56% | 2021-05-04 | Lost |
| 1006 | 988 | 53% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 989 | 970 | 53% | 2020-06-18 | Won |
| 819 | 1083 | 18% | 2020-04-07 | Lost |
| 1053 | 954 | 64% | 2020-03-15 | Lost |
| 1164 | 1116 | 57% | 2019-11-05 | Lost |
| 916 | 977 | 41% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 1018 | 1006 | 52% | 2018-11-24 | Lost |
| 947 | 1065 | 34% | 2018-10-01 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1106 | 38% | 2018-08-15 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1209 | 43% | 2018-06-30 | Lost |
| 881 | 1006 | 33% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1018 | 63% | 2018-02-18 | Won |
| 1230 | 1052 | 74% | 2018-02-03 | Won |
| 1242 | 982 | 82% | 2018-01-28 | Won |
| 1020 | 1209 | 25% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 975 | 1006 | 46% | 2017-12-05 | Won |
| 1238 | 1238 | 50% | 2017-12-03 | Won |
| 1166 | 1208 | 44% | 2017-12-02 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1279 | 31% | 2017-11-29 | Lost |
| 907 | 1024 | 34% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
| 1074 | 1028 | 57% | 2017-10-14 | Won |
| 1212 | 1209 | 50% | 2017-10-08 | Won |
| 916 | 1111 | 25% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
| 976 | 1207 | 21% | 2017-01-25 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1039.5 vs 1074.7 has a 44.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).